Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 3.274926 3.844632 4.504445 5.329988 6.342038 7.550973 9.117429
2024-12-29 2.418482 3.122676 4.038030 5.335429 7.160507 9.688146 13.547225
2025-01-05 1.958534 2.683106 3.696302 5.254425 7.660259 11.357564 17.727029
2025-01-12 1.704421 2.449031 3.554083 5.373166 8.415162 13.539350 23.397714
2025-01-19 1.468493 2.190164 3.312682 5.264569 8.749957 15.093400 28.529779
2025-01-26 1.374163 2.127483 3.356225 5.616723 9.940934 18.493750 38.650075
2025-02-02 1.274969 2.038410 3.336083 5.845187 10.951826 21.856888 50.303425
2025-02-09 1.197264 1.971887 3.340094 6.112970 12.103220 25.897498 65.789191
2025-02-16 1.107705 1.871061 3.264442 6.206051 12.904327 29.414688 81.963983
2025-02-23 1.034606 1.789520 3.210969 6.331362 13.809447 33.526693 102.730196
2025-03-02 0.950655 1.677002 3.080591 6.265083 14.238234 36.533181 121.958895
2025-03-09 0.896674 1.614935 3.041577 6.394735 15.198669 41.468734 152.685211
2025-03-16 0.807095 1.483475 2.863842 6.224508 15.482306 45.019290 184.059586
2025-03-23 0.739298 1.389658 2.757387 6.221336 16.299710 51.056558 236.954011
2025-03-30 0.674370 1.292397 2.626505 6.124602 16.811154 56.376264 295.189247
2025-04-06 0.633874 1.240969 2.589923 6.267133 18.141811 65.889423 399.519142
2025-04-13 0.581432 1.156922 2.464256 6.136751 18.523901 71.740861 491.894795
2025-04-20 0.565823 1.152122 2.526791 6.559885 21.061138 89.882337 748.520937
2025-04-27 0.543074 1.128036 2.537774 6.834908 23.195785 108.298566 1090.581040
2025-05-04 0.524052 1.110073 2.561325 7.157755 25.709654 131.937289 1641.298925
2025-05-11 0.497449 1.070760 2.522685 7.270096 27.399497 152.669370 2306.843892
2025-05-18 0.474651 1.038006 2.496791 7.421435 29.375944 178.397158 3341.843933
2025-05-25 0.445487 0.986217 2.410751 7.341376 30.213231 196.779489 4431.484388